Recommends restructuring of the ‘political system’
THE Financial Times of London has said Nigeria has all the features of a failed state and may soon unravel as a nation if nothing is done to halt its downward spiral.
The UK-based newspaper said this in an editorial on Tuesday titled, ‘Nigeria at Risk of Becoming a Failed State’.
The newspaper said a country where kidnapping, banditry, carjacking and other traits of insecurity are rife has failed the basic test of a secure state.
The newspaper cited the litany of ugly incidents that rocked the nation recently, particularly the abduction and subsequent rescue of over 300 schoolboys in Kankara, Katsina State to buttress its stance.
It added that the government’s claim that no ransom was paid to secure release of abducted schoolboys sounds too good to be true and should be taken with scepticism.
The editorial read in part, “The government insists no ransom was paid. Scepticism is warranted. In a country going backwards economically, carjacking, kidnapping and banditry are among Nigeria’s rare growth industries. Just as the boys were going home, Nigerian pirates abducted six Ukrainian sailors off the coast.
“The definition of a failed state is one where the government is no longer in control. By this yardstick, Africa’s most populous country is teetering on the brink.”
The newspaper also dismissed the Buhari administration’s claim that Boko Haram had been technically defeated as fanciful as shown by recent happenings adding that Boko Haram remained “an ever-present threat”
The Financial Times stated, “President Muhammadu Buhari in 2015 pronounced Boko Haram technically defeated’. That has proved fanciful. Boko Haram has remained an ever-present threat. If the latest kidnapping turns out to be its work, it would mark the spread of the terrorist group from its north-eastern base.
“Even if the mass abduction was carried out by ‘ordinary’ bandits — as now looks possible — it underlines the fact of chronic criminality and violence. Deadly clashes between herders and settled farmers have spread to most parts of Nigeria. In the oil-rich, but impoverished, Delta region, extortion through the sabotage of pipelines is legendary.”
The newspaper said security is not the only area where “the state is failing”.
The FT added that Nigeria has more poor people than any other country even as it has the highest number of out-of-school children on earth.
The newspaper stated that as oil continues to lose its value, Nigeria’s economy would worsen.
“The population, already above 200 million, is growing at a breakneck 3.2 per cent a year. The economy has stalled since 2015 and real living standards are declining. This year, the economy will shrink 4 per cent after COVID-19 dealt a further blow to oil prices.
“In any case, as the world turns greener, the elite’s scramble for oil revenue will become a game of diminishing returns. The country desperately needs to put its finances, propped up by foreign borrowing, on a sounder footing,” it said.
The newspaper said Buhari, who has less than three years left in office, must use the remainder of his term, to redouble efforts at improving security.
Giving advice on what the goverment could do to prevent the country from total collapse, the newspaper said trust must be restored in key institutions, particularly the judiciary, security services and the electoral commission.
The FT saud, “The broad coalition that found political expression this year in the EndSARS movement against police brutality provides a shard of optimism. At least Nigeria has a relatively stable democracy. Now Nigeria’s youth — creative, entrepreneurial and less tainted by the politics of extraction — should use that system to reset the country’s narrative.”
The newspaper concluded by saying that it was time for Nigeria to restructure its political system and concentrate on security, health, education, power and roads
“At the present trajectory, the population will double to 400 million by 2050. If nothing is done, long before then, Nigeria will become a problem far too big for the world to ignore,” it warned.
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